RHI (2025 - Q2)

Release Date: Jul 23, 2025

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Stock Data provided by Financial Modeling Prep

Current Financial Performance

Robert Half Q2 2025 Highlights

$1.37 billion
Revenue
$0.41
EPS
$119 million
Cash Flow from Operations
12%
Return on Invested Capital

Key Financial Metrics

Margins & Operating Income

39.1%
Contract Talent Solutions Gross Margin
47.1%
Talent Solutions Gross Margin
19.7%
Protiviti Gross Margin
22.3%
Protiviti Adjusted Gross Margin
37.1%
Enterprise SG&A % of Revenue
4.3%
Adjusted Operating Income Margin

Operating Income

$2 million

Adjusted Operating Income

$59 million

Accounts Receivable

$827 million

Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)

54.4 days

Period Comparison Analysis

Revenue

$1.37 billion
Current
Previous:$1.473 billion
7% YoY

EPS

$0.41
Current
Previous:$0.66
37.9% YoY

Return on Invested Capital

12%
Current
Previous:18%
33.3% YoY

Cash Flow from Operations

$119 million
Current
Previous:$142 million
16.2% YoY

Talent Solutions Revenue Growth (Adjusted)

-11%
Current
Previous:-14%
21.4% YoY

Protiviti Revenue Growth (Adjusted)

2%
Current
Previous:-1%
300% YoY

Contract Talent Solutions Bill Rate Increase

3.8%
Current
Previous:3.1%
22.6% YoY

Accounts Receivable

$827 million
Current
Previous:$893 million
7.4% YoY

Earnings Performance & Analysis

Q2 2025 Revenue vs Guidance

Actual:$1.37 billion
Estimate:Midpoint of $1.31B to $1.41B
MISS

Q2 2025 EPS vs Guidance

Actual:$0.41
Estimate:$0.37 to $0.47
MISS

Dividend per Share

$0.59

11.3% YoY increase

Shares Repurchased

450,000 shares

$20 million spent

Financial Guidance & Outlook

Q3 2025 Revenue Guidance

$1.31B to $1.41B

Midpoint down 8% YoY

Q3 2025 EPS Guidance

$0.37 to $0.47

Q3 Adjusted Operating Income Margin

3% to 6%

Q3 Adjusted Gross Margin Range

37% to 40%

Q3 Adjusted SG&A % of Revenue

33% to 35%

Q3 Tax Rate Guidance

31% to 35%

2025 Capital Expenditures

$75M to $90M

Surprises

Revenue Decline

$1.37 billion

Global enterprise revenues were $1.37 billion, down 7% from last year's second quarter both on a reported basis and on an adjusted basis.

Net Income Per Share Decline

$0.41

Net income per share in the second quarter was $0.41, compared to $0.66 in the second quarter 1 year ago.

Talent Solutions Revenue Decline

-11%

Down 11%

On an adjusted basis, second quarter talent solutions revenues were down 11% year-over-year.

Protiviti Revenue Growth

+2%

Up 2%

On an adjusted basis, global second quarter Protiviti revenues were up 2% versus the year-ago period.

Permanent Placement Revenue Decline

Down 20% in June

Permanent placement revenues in June were down 20% versus June of 2024.

Dividend Increase

+11.3%

11.3%

The June 2025 dividend was 11.3% higher than in the prior year.

Impact Quotes

We think an offset to what some believe will be a net negative was the fact that we'll take more share because we're much more prepared to take advantage of, which we've already shown relative to our small and regional competitors.

Protiviti and its independently owned member firms serve clients through locations in the United States and 28 other countries.

Contract talent solutions bill rates for the second quarter increased 3.8% compared to 1 year ago, adjusted for changes in the mix of revenues by functional specialization, currency and country.

AI has had very little impact on our revenues. We did a deep dive... Our data says that so far, they haven't performed any differently than the other roles.

The fears of economic recession have eased as worst-case trade policy concerns have not materialized, and proposed tax changes have now become law.

Protiviti achieved year-over-year revenue growth for the fourth quarter in a row, though growth rates have moderated as a result of continued economic uncertainty.

We remain committed to our time-tested corporate purpose to connect people to meaningful and exciting work and provide clients with the talent and consulting expertise they need to confidently compete and grow.

We are proud to have ranked #1 on Forbes' list of America's Best Professional Recruiting Firms.

Notable Topics Discussed

  • Management reports that AI has had very little impact on revenues so far, with roles vulnerable to AI like data entry and bookkeeping not showing significant change.
  • Staffing industry has historically been fluid, pivoting to new skills and roles, with AI expected to be a long-term transition rather than an immediate disruptor.
  • Company believes AI will enhance its competitive advantage by enabling better candidate matching and job relevance, especially against local and regional competitors lacking proprietary data.
  • Unadjusted bill rate increases are estimated to be 100-200 basis points higher than the 3.8% adjusted figure, reflecting a long-term trend of skill set evolution.
  • Management highlights ongoing upward movement in skill levels over years, which is underappreciated in current metrics.
  • Protiviti experienced extended project conversion timelines and reduced project sizes due to economic uncertainty, impacting Q3 revenues.
  • Pipeline remains strong with increased new opportunities in the last 30 days, suggesting potential return to growth in Q4.
  • Management expects small negative or positive growth in Protiviti, with resilience demonstrated over recent challenging years.
  • Tech solutions, especially related to AI readiness, ERP upgrades, and security, are the strongest practice areas.
  • Management anticipates that improvements in tech solutions will gradually benefit finance and accounting consulting, especially at higher management levels.
  • Client confidence has improved over the last 90 days, though not yet back to post-election highs.
  • Economic uncertainty has become more normalized, with trade policy concerns and tax law changes now less disruptive.
  • Revenues from permanent placements declined more sharply than temporary staffing, with June down 20% versus last year.
  • Recent activity in July suggests some stabilization, but overall cautious client behavior persists.
  • Non-U.S. Protiviti revenues increased significantly, driven by large joint projects in Germany and Canada.
  • Management is optimistic about prospects in Europe, especially with upcoming defense and infrastructure spending.
  • Management states that competition with the Big 4 consulting firms has stabilized, with no new adverse competitive pressures.
  • Positioning with AI and high-quality talent provides an advantage to take market share as the environment improves.
  • Company is holding onto excess capacity, including recruiters and sales staff, to participate strongly in the upcycle without adding new headcount.
  • Digital initiatives like lead scoring are improving productivity and confidence in capacity planning.
  • Robert Half ranked #1 on Forbes' list of America's Best Professional Recruiting Firms and received other industry recognitions.
  • Management emphasizes that brand strength and employee quality are key differentiators in a challenging environment.

Key Insights:

  • 2025 capital expenditures and capitalized cloud computing costs expected to be $75 million to $90 million, with $15 million to $25 million in Q3.
  • Adjusted gross margin guidance: contract talent 38% to 40%, Protiviti 22% to 24%, overall 37% to 40%.
  • Adjusted operating income margin guidance: talent solutions 2% to 4%, Protiviti 6% to 8%, overall 3% to 6%.
  • Adjusted revenue growth assumptions: talent solutions down 9% to 13%, Protiviti flat to down 4%, overall down 6% to 10%.
  • Adjusted SG&A guidance: talent solutions 43% to 45%, Protiviti 15% to 17%, overall 33% to 35%.
  • Q3 2025 revenue guidance is $1.31 billion to $1.41 billion, midpoint $1.36 billion, down 8% year-over-year adjusted and down 3% sequentially.
  • Q3 income per share guidance is $0.37 to $0.47; midpoint adjusted operating income expected to increase sequentially from Q2, the first Q3 sequential increase since 2021.
  • Shares outstanding expected between 100 million and 101 million.
  • Tax rate guidance is 31% to 35%.
  • Contract talent solutions bill rates increased 3.8% year-over-year, adjusted for mix, currency, and country.
  • Digital initiatives, including lead scoring engines, have improved productivity and capacity to participate in market upcycles without adding headcount.
  • Investments in AI and technology have enhanced candidate and job matching capabilities, providing a competitive edge over local and regional staffing firms.
  • Protiviti achieved year-over-year revenue growth for the fourth consecutive quarter, though growth rates moderated due to economic uncertainty.
  • Protiviti's non-U.S. operations, especially in Germany and Canada, are performing well with large joint go-to-market projects with talent solutions.
  • Protiviti's pipeline quality and diversity remain strong, with new opportunities in the last 30 days up substantially year-over-year and sequentially.
  • Recognition as #1 on Forbes' list of America's Best Professional Recruiting Firms and other accolades highlight employee contributions and brand strength.
  • Strategic integration of contract professionals from talent solutions supports Protiviti's performance and enterprise-wide competitive advantage.
  • AI has had very little impact on revenues so far; staffing industry is fluid and adapts to changing job and skill demands.
  • Economic recession fears have eased; worst-case trade policy concerns have not materialized; small business confidence has rebounded modestly.
  • Hiring and quit rates remain subdued but job openings are well above historical levels, indicating strong pent-up demand.
  • Improved business confidence is driving increased hiring urgency, project demand, and reprioritization of deferred initiatives.
  • Management is holding recruiter and salesperson headcount steady to maintain capacity for an upcycle, supported by productivity gains from digital tools.
  • Protiviti remains resilient with slight year-over-year revenue decline expected in Q3 due to completion of large projects and extended conversion timelines.
  • Robert Half is well-positioned to take share from smaller competitors due to technology, brand strength, and full-time engagement professionals.
  • Technology solutions are the strongest practice group, driven by AI readiness, tech modernization, ERP upgrades, and security/privacy demand.
  • U.S. job market remains resilient with 4.1% unemployment; labor supply constraints persist, especially among college-educated professionals with 2.5% unemployment.
  • AI has had minimal impact on staffing revenues so far; SMB clients are later adopters of AI; Robert Half's technology and data scale provide competitive advantage.
  • Bill rate increases adjusted for mix are about 3.8% year-over-year; unadjusted increases are higher by 100 to 200 basis points due to skill mix shifts.
  • Company is holding internal recruiter and sales headcount steady, leveraging unused capacity and productivity gains to prepare for market recovery.
  • Confidence and tone of conversations are improving but not yet back to post-election highs; progress is positive compared to 90 days ago.
  • Enterprise clients have been more resilient than SMB clients over several quarters.
  • Financial services industry clients represent 40-50% of Protiviti revenue and follow similar trends; they are cost-conscious with extended decision cycles.
  • Margins in talent solutions are stable; Q3 expected to have one of the best operating quarters in four years with abated negative operating leverage.
  • Non-U.S. Protiviti growth driven by large joint projects in Germany and Canada; positive outlook on defense and infrastructure spending internationally.
  • Permanent placement revenues are more volatile than contract revenues; recent declines are within normal volatility.
  • Protiviti expects a seasonal lift from Sarbanes-Oxley compliance work in Q3, but less revenue lift than usual due to fewer large projects.
  • Protiviti's slight year-over-year revenue decline in Q3 is partly due to completion of a few large projects; pipeline and new opportunities are strong, suggesting possible growth by Q4.
  • Revenue levels fell sequentially in the first two months of Q2 then stabilized; tone of client conversations has improved recently.
  • Technology solutions are the strongest segment and expected to spill over into finance and accounting at higher management levels.
  • Accounts receivable at quarter-end were $827 million with days sales outstanding (DSO) of 54.4 days.
  • Contract-to-hire revenues were 3.4% of contract revenues, unchanged from prior year.
  • Currency exchange rate movements increased reported year-over-year total revenues by $8 million in Q2.
  • Dividend per share increased 11.3% year-over-year, continuing an 11.5% average annual growth since 2004.
  • Income from investments held in employee deferred compensation trusts was $58 million, offset by equal deferred compensation costs, resulting in no net income impact.
  • Permanent placement revenues were 13.1% of consolidated talent solutions revenues, slightly down from 13.3% a year ago.
  • Second quarter tax rate was 33%, higher than 29% a year ago due to increased non-deductible expenses and lower pre-tax income.
  • The company repurchased approximately 450,000 shares for $20 million during the quarter.
  • Economic uncertainty is now considered the 'new normal,' with clients more accustomed to policy changes and less reactive than in prior quarters.
  • Large projects significantly impact Protiviti's quarterly revenue fluctuations, especially in financial services industry clients.
  • Protiviti's competition with Big 4 firms has stabilized, particularly regarding pricing dynamics.
  • Recognition by Forbes and other accolades underscore the company's strong brand and employee engagement.
  • Small and regional staffing firms lack the technology and data scale to compete effectively with Robert Half.
  • The company maintains a conservative approach in guidance, factoring in current sequential trends and adding a margin of safety.
  • The company views AI as a potential net positive due to its ability to enhance candidate and job matching and take share from less technologically advanced competitors.
  • The staffing industry operates in a spot market requiring fluid adaptation to changing job and skill demands.
Complete Transcript:
RHI:2025 - Q2
Operator:
Hello, and welcome to the Robert Half Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Today's conference call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] Our host for today's call are Mr. Keith Waddell, President and Chief Executive Officer of Robert Half; and Mr. Michael Buckley, Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Waddell, you may begin. M. Keith
M. Keith Waddell:
Hello, everyone. We appreciate your time today. Before we get started, I would like to remind you that the comments made on today's call contain forward-looking statements, including predictions and estimates about our future performance. These statements represent our current judgment of what the future holds. However, they are subject to the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties are described in today's press release and in our most recent 10-K and 10-Q filed with the SEC. We assume no obligation to update the statements made on today's call. During this presentation, we may mention some non-GAAP financial measures and reference these figures as, as adjusted. Specifically, we present adjusted revenue growth rates, which remove the impacts on reported revenues from the changes in the number of billing days and foreign currency exchange rates. Additionally, we present adjusted gross margin, adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses, and adjusted operating income by combining the gains and losses on investments held to fund the company's obligations under employee deferred compensation plans with the changes in the underlying deferred compensation obligations. Since the gains and losses from investments and the changes in deferred compensation obligations completely offset, there is no impact on our reported net income. Reconciliations and further explanations of these measures are included in a supplemental schedule to our earnings press release. For your convenience, our prepared remarks for today's call are available in the Investor Center of our website, roberthalf.com. For the second quarter of 2025, global enterprise revenues were $1.37 billion, down 7% from last year's second quarter both on a reported basis and on an adjusted basis. Net income per share in the second quarter was $0.41, compared to $0.66 in the second quarter 1 year ago. Revenues and earnings were in line with the midpoint of our previous second quarter guidance. Elevated global economic uncertainty persisted throughout the quarter, extending client and job seeker caution, elongating decision cycles, and subduing hiring activity and new project starts. Revenue levels fell modestly during the first two months of the quarter, then stabilized at lower levels in June, which continued post- quarter into July. We are very well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities and support our clients' future talent and consulting needs through the strength of our industry-leading brand, our people, our technology, and our unique business model that includes both professional staffing and business consulting services. Cash flow provided by operations during the quarter was $119 million. In June, we distributed a $0.59 per share cash dividend to our shareholders of record, for a total cash outlay of $59 million. Our per share dividend has grown an average of 11.5% annually since its inception in 2004. The June 2025 dividend was 11.3% higher than in the prior year. We also acquired approximately 450,000 Robert Half shares during the quarter for $20 million. We have 6.2 million shares available for repurchase under our Board-approved stock repurchase plan. Return on invested capital for the company was 12% in the second quarter. Now I'll turn the call over to our CFO, Mike Buckley.
Michael C. Buckley:
Thank you, Keith and hello, everyone. As Keith noted, global revenues were $1.37 billion in the second quarter. On an adjusted basis, second quarter talent solutions revenues were down 11% year-over-year. U.S. talent solutions revenues were $668 million, down 11% from the prior year's second quarter. Non-U.S. talent solutions revenues were $207 million, down 13% year-over-year. We conduct talent solutions operations through offices in the United States and 18 other countries. In the second quarter, there were 63.2 billing days, compared to 63.5 billing days in the same quarter 1 year ago. The third quarter of 2025 has 64.2 billing days, compared to 64.1 billing days during the third quarter of 2024. Currency exchange rate movements during the second quarter had the effect of increasing reported year-over-year total revenues by $8 million, $4 million for both talent solutions and Protiviti. Contract talent solutions bill rates for the second quarter increased 3.8% compared to 1 year ago, adjusted for changes in the mix of revenues by functional specialization, currency and country. This rate for the first quarter was 4.2%. Now let's take a closer look at results for Protiviti. Global revenues in the second quarter were $495 million, $396 million of that is from the United States, and $99 million is from outside of the United States. On an adjusted basis, global second quarter Protiviti revenues were up 2% versus the year-ago period. U.S. Protiviti revenues were down 1%, while non-U.S. Protiviti revenues were up 11% compared to 1 year ago. Protiviti and its independently owned member firms serve clients through locations in the United States and 28 other countries. Turning now to gross margin. In contract talent solutions, second quarter gross margin was 39.1% of applicable revenues versus 39.3% in the second quarter 1 year ago. Conversion or contract-to-hire revenues were 3.4% of contract revenues in both the current quarter and the second quarter of 2024. Our permanent placement revenues were 13.1% of consolidated talent solutions revenues in the quarter -- in the current quarter, and 13.3% in the second quarter of 2024. When compared with contract talent solutions gross margin, overall gross margin for talent solutions was 47.1% compared to 47.4% of applicable revenues in the second quarter 1 year ago. For Protiviti, gross margin was 19.7% of Protiviti revenues in the second quarter and 22.5% in the second quarter 1 year ago. Adjusted gross margin for Protiviti was 22.3% for the quarter just ended, compared to 23.2% last year. Enterprise SG&A costs were 37.1% of global revenues in the second quarter, compared to 34% in the same quarter 1 year ago. Adjusted SG&A costs were 33.8% for the quarter just ended, compared to 33.2% a year ago. Talent solutions SG&A costs were 49.2% of talent solutions revenues in the second quarter versus 43.1% in the second quarter of 2024. Adjusted talent solutions SG&A costs were 44.1% for the quarter just ended compared to 41.9% last year. Second quarter SG&A costs for Protiviti were 15.7% of Protiviti revenues compared to 15.6% of revenues for the same quarter one year ago. Operating income for the quarter was $2 million. Adjusted operating income was $59 million in the second quarter or 4.3% of revenue. Second quarter adjusted operating income from our talent solutions divisions was $27 million or 3.1% of revenue. Adjusted operating income for Protiviti in the second quarter was $32 million or 6.6% of revenue. Income from investments held in employee deferred compensation trusts. Our second quarter 2025 income statement includes a $58 million gain from investments held in employee deferred compensation trusts. This is completely offset by an equal amount of higher employee deferred compensation costs, which are reflected in SG&A expenses and direct costs. As such, it has no effect on our reported net income. Our second-quarter tax rate was 33% compared to 29% 1 year ago. The higher tax rate in the current quarter is due to the increased impact of non-deductible expenses relative to lower pre-tax income. At the end of the second quarter, accounts receivable were $827 million, and implied days sales outstanding or DSO was 54.4 days. Before we move to third quarter guidance, let's review some of the monthly revenue trends we saw in the second quarter and so far in July, all adjusted for currency and billing days. Contract talent solutions exited the second quarter with June revenues down 11% versus the prior year, compared to an 11% decrease for the full quarter. Revenues for the first two weeks of July were down 10% compared to the same period last year. Permanent placement revenues in June were down 20% versus June of 2024. This compares to a 13% decrease for the full quarter. For the first three weeks in July, permanent placement revenues were down 14% compared to the same period in 2024. We provide this information so that you have insight into some of the trends we saw during the second quarter and into July. But as you know, these are very brief time periods, we caution against reading too much into them. With that in mind, we offer the following third-quarter guidance. Revenue $1.31 billion to $1.41 billion, income per share $0.37 to $0.47. Midpoint revenues of $1.36 billion are 8% lower than the same period in 2024 on an as adjusted basis. On a sequential basis, midpoint estimated Q3 revenues are down 3%. For the most recent 6 week period ended July 11, weekly sequential revenues have remained essentially flat. Midpoint adjusted operating income dollars are expected to increase sequentially from Q2, the first sequential Q3 increase since 2021. The major financial assumptions underlying the midpoint of these estimates are as follows. Adjusted revenue growth year-over- year for talent solutions, down 9% to 13%; Protiviti, flat to down 4%; overall, down 6% to 10%. Adjusted gross margin percentage for contract talent, 38% to 40%; for Protiviti, 22% to 24%; overall 37% to 40%. Adjusted SG&A as a percentage of revenue talent solutions, 43% to 45%; Protiviti, 15% to 17%; overall, 33% to 35%. Adjusted operating income as a percentage of revenue, talent solutions, 2% to 4%; Protiviti, 6% to 8%; overall, 3% to 6%. Tax rate, 31% to 35%. Shares 100 million to 101 million. 2025 capital expenditures and capitalized cloud computing costs, $75 million to $90 million with $15 million to $25 million in the third quarter. All estimates we provide on this call are subject to the risks mentioned in today's press release and in our SEC filings. Now I'll turn the call back over to Keith.
M. Keith Waddell:
Thank you, Mike. The fears of economic recession have eased as worst-case trade policy concerns have not materialized, and proposed tax changes have now become law. Small business confidence levels have also rebounded modestly from recent lows. The U.S. job market remains resilient with the overall unemployment at 4.1%. Labor supply constraints remain. Particularly noteworthy is that the unemployment rate for college-educated professionals is holding steady at just 2.5%, with even lower rates prevailing among specialized accounting, finance and technology roles. Although current hiring and quit rates remain subdued and well below post-COVID highs, job openings continue to be well above historical levels, indicating strong pent-up hiring demand. As business confidence improves, there is a corresponding acceleration in hiring urgency, project demand and the reprioritization of previously deferred initiatives. This natural progression typically places increased demands on client resources that are already operating at or near capacity, creating the hiring and consulting environment that has historically driven substantial growth for our business during the early phases of economic expansion cycles. Protiviti achieved year-over-year revenue growth for the fourth quarter in a row, though growth rates have moderated as a result of continued economic uncertainty. This has extended conversion timelines from opportunity identification to project start and reduced average project size. Despite the lengthening cycles, Protiviti's prospects, including the quality and diversity of its pipeline, remain very strong across all of its major solutions areas. The strategic integration of contract professionals sourced through our talent solutions divisions remains a powerful driver of Protiviti's performance, reinforcing our distinctive enterprise-wide competitive advantage. We remain committed to our time-tested corporate purpose to connect people to meaningful and exciting work and provide clients with the talent and consulting expertise they need to confidently compete and grow. We'd like to thank our employees, who are our greatest asset and what differentiates us in the marketplace, for the significant company recognition we've received in the second quarter. We are proud to have ranked #1 on Forbes' list of America's Best Professional Recruiting Firms. We were also recognized by Forbes as one of America's Best Temporary Staffing Firms and one of America's Best Executive Recruiting Firms. This is a credit to all of our employees and their incredible drive to deliver outstanding service to our clients and our candidates. Now, Mike and I would be happy to answer your questions. Please ask just one question and a single follow-up, as needed. If there's time, we'll come back to you for additional questions.
Operator:
[Operator Instructions] And your first question will come from the line of Andrew Steinerman with JPMorgan.
Andrew Charles Steinerman:
This might be not as timely, it's kind of a long-term trend question. I was curious about the bill rate increases, the 3.8% year-over-year that is adjusted for mix. I know it's adjusted for other things like FX as well. But what I'm curious about is if you didn't adjust for mix, how much is bill rates up? And I really -- I'm asking because I feel like there's been kind of a long-term move up the skill sets over many years that sort of like is underappreciated when you just give the mix adjusted number.
M. Keith Waddell:
Right. And so since mix positively impacts bill rate increases for reasons you just mentioned, unadjusted they'd be higher. And so that's been a progression that's been in place for years, and wherein we're happy to have continue into the future.
Andrew Charles Steinerman:
But could you just give us a sense of how much your bill rates have increased because of mix shifts over the years?
M. Keith Waddell:
I mean it's not unusual for it to be 100 basis points to 200 basis points difference. I don't remember the numbers right off the top of my head, but clearly, it's part of our story.
Operator:
And the next question will come from Mark Marcon with Baird.
Mark Steven Marcon:
Just wondering about Protiviti. You did mention that there's an extension in terms of conversion time lines and that the project -- in terms of the project starts and that there's reduced average project size. Could you dimensionalize that a little bit more? Obviously, we're going up against a tougher comp here in the third quarter than we had in the second quarter. So you're basically projecting to a year-over-year revenue decline in Protiviti. And I'm wondering like how much of that seems like it's a temporary function, or how long lasting do you think that trend could end up being?
M. Keith Waddell:
Well, first of all, it's a slight year-on-year decline. Next, I would say that in the third quarter, there's a small number of very large jobs that completed in the second. And given the overall cautious environment take a little bit of time to replace. And so that, in addition to or as part of the economic environment trend, is impacting quarter 3 Protiviti revenues. While it's seeing in quarter 3, it's typical Sarbanes-Oxley compliance lift seasonally that it always does, the other solutions are somewhat lower for this large project phenomenon that I just talked about. Up temporary versus the longer term, if you look at their pipeline, their pipeline is still up year-on-year. And I think the thing that they're most excited about is that their new opportunities in the last 30 days are up substantially. And as you look back over the last year, the increase of that last 30 days is substantially higher, both sequentially and year-on-year that they've seen in a long time. So we're very encouraged by that.
Mark Steven Marcon:
Should that -- just to stay on this, should that translate to likely growth by the fourth quarter if we have kind of the normal conversion rate?
M. Keith Waddell:
Again, because we're so close to year-on-year growth, it doesn't take that much revenue to swing it one way or the other. And so clearly, with that kind of opportunity growth -- new opportunity growth by the fourth quarter, there's a reasonable chance that we return to growth again. But again, we're talking really, really small negative and/or positive growth rates. Generally speaking, Protiviti has been very resilient during this kind of more challenged economic period of the last 2 or 3 years, and that is expected to continue. And whether they have negative growth of 2% or positive growth of 2%, it isn't a huge swing. Protiviti is doing very well.
Mark Steven Marcon:
Great. And then you mentioned with regards to talent solutions, the fears of economic recession have eased, worst trade -- worst case on the trade policy concerns haven't materialized, and we've seen small business confidence rebound. In terms -- when we take a look at your talent solutions business, we did see a pickup, particularly with regards to technology solutions. I'm just wondering how you're thinking about tech solutions progressing. And should that eventually spill over to finance and accounting as well?
M. Keith Waddell:
Tech solutions are clearly the strongest part of our practice groups. Tech modernization, ERP upgrades, security privacy, they're all strong. Much of that relates to AI readiness, if you will, and it's been doing very well for multiple quarters now. And we would expect to see some of that trickle into finance and accounting, particularly at our higher management resource levels. And further, it ties in well with Protiviti's technology consulting group such that together our higher-level finance and accounting consulting solutions, our tech solutions, and we've been moving up the skill curve there and technology at Protiviti, they all fit very well together.
Operator:
And your next question will come from the line of Manav Patnaik with Barclays.
John Ronan Kennedy:
This is Ronan Kennedy on for Manav. I just wanted to clarify some of the statements with regards to macro drivers and demands and the trends that you've seen out of June and the first 3 weeks in July. I think you understandably highlighted that elevated global economic uncertainty, consistent with what we're hearing from other companies, but I think they had pointed out to activity slowed once the tariff rhetoric again ramped up approximately a month ago. I think you had indicated revenue levels fell during the first 2 months and then stabilized in June, but perm placement revenues in June were down 20%. And I think they were down in contract as well. Just wondering how that kind of all reconciles, and if there's any specific drivers there to be mindful of.
M. Keith Waddell:
Well, part of this is year-on-year versus sequential. And when we're talking current trends, we're talking sequential. And so what we said was the first 2 months sequentially, we fell modestly and then sequentially, that leveled off. I could also say that for the past few weeks on the talent solutions side, particularly, the tone of the conversations we've had with clients has improved, and we feel good about that. But the year-on-year comparisons also consider what happened sequentially a year ago. And in times like these, we tend to focus more on sequential than year-on-year, and that's how we describe the trends. And so sequentially on the Protiviti side, a nice surge in new opportunities the last 30 days. Talent solutions side, the tone of client conversations has definitely gotten better in the last few weeks. If you take our current run rate in talent solutions through mid-July and you apply that to the full quarter, we're about 2% down sequentially. And our guidance is that we would be down 4% sequentially. So we've added a little conservatism to our guidance relative to where we are at the moment. And again, everything sequentially.
John Ronan Kennedy:
Thank you for the clarification, I appreciate it. And then if I may as a follow-up, can you just talk about the dynamics of margin drivers, the puts and takes to guided margins, whether that's mix conversion, wage rate inflation, bill pay spreads, et cetera for the guided margin, please, for 3Q?
M. Keith Waddell:
Sure. On talent solutions side, gross margins pretty consistent, or nothing new there. On the SG&A side, we've pretty much abated the negative operating leverage we've gotten for many quarters in a row. And so there's not much change in talent solutions SG&A as a percent of revenue in our Q3 guidance. And as we said in our remarks, on a progression from Q2 to Q3, talent solutions just had one of the best -- will have one of the best quarters it's had at the operating line than it's had in 4 years. And so we feel good about where we are cost-wise and margin-wise relative to the last 3 or 4 years, frankly, on talent solutions. In Protiviti, we get an uptick in gross margin and segment income sequentially. That's largely driven by the seasonal lift they get from Sarbanes-Oxley compliance work, which they anticipate getting again. However, because of the completion of those small number of large projects, they're not going to get as much revenue lift as they typically do in the third quarter. And all of that revenue lift is almost completely segment income or margin. And therefore, the gross margin and segment margin lift you typically get in the third quarter if they're not going to get as much of this year, still be up, but won't be up as much as it has been traditionally. And again, it's principally related to those handful of small -- large projects that they're having to redeploy for.
Operator:
And the next question comes from Trevor Romeo with William Blair.
Trevor Romeo:
I had another kind of macro-related question to start. You talked about the conversations improving for talent solutions in the last month or so. I guess the question I have is, does it feel like the confidence and the tone of conversations are back to where they were maybe a couple of quarters ago? I guess, coming into the year, you did see the post-election increase in confidence metrics. Are we back there yet? And if not, I guess, what do you think will it take to get back to those types of levels of confidence?
M. Keith Waddell:
It's subjective, but I would say we're not back there yet, but we're headed there. And I just -- I'll tell you the last few weeks on the talent solutions side particularly, and as represented by the new opportunities in Protiviti, tone is definitely better. It's not euphoric like it was post-election. But it's certainly going in the right direction, which is a nice change from 90 days ago when we didn't feel this way. I'd say we definitely feel better today than we felt 90 days ago.
Trevor Romeo:
Okay. That makes a lot of sense. And then I had a follow-up about the entry-level sort of the college grad labor market. We've seen a lot of press lately about some incremental weakness in that area. So just given, I guess, your perspective, would love to hear your thoughts on maybe what's going on in the entry-level white collar labor market? Is it just economic uncertainty? Are you seeing any pressure from maybe advancements in AI or anything like that?
M. Keith Waddell:
Well, first of all, our small business clients typically expect experienced staff when they come to us for contractors. And so we don't really have that many right out of college graduates that we place on the contract side. On AI, we could talk forever. So let me make a few comments. First of all, we know definitively that so far, AI has had very little impact on our revenues. We did a deep dive. We took it all. We took all the roles that were identified by The World Economic Forum as most vulnerable. They would include things like data entry, bookkeeping, customer service, the ones you always read about. And our data says that so far, they haven't performed any differently than the other roles. Interestingly, the NFIB just did a technology survey of its constituents. 98% reported that AI had no impact to their number of employees. There are other studies that have come out recently, and the National Bureau of Economic Research being one of them, that has concluded so far, no association between AI and jobs growth with the possible exception of tech companies that you read a lot about. But part of that, they're selling their own book. And so at least so far, when you look at the staffing industry and Robert Half specifically, we can say AI has not impacted how we've performed. Now as to the future, there are opinions all over the lot. We would say that historically, the staffing industry has been great about being very fluid and pivoting to where the jobs and the skills are old and new. We operate in the spot market every day, and you have to go where the jobs and skills are to survive. I'd say further, with every technology cycle, there's a lot of transition work and we're seeing that as well. We talked already about tech modernization, ERP platform upgrades, data, et cetera. And so that's positive. The other thing I would say is, and this was confirmed in this NFIB survey that SMBs are always later adopters, and we're 70% SMB. They have less budget. They don't have large volumes of people performing repetitive tasks. There's less structure to the data. They need more proof of ROI. And so there are always later adopters, and they're expected to be later adopters with AI. That said, we at Robert Half, we believe in technology, we believe in AI. As you know, we've got award-winning matching and lead scoring engines that are very effective. And if anything, we think if the world gets more AI-centric, more technology-centric, we should be able to take share from our true competitors, which are local and regional staffing firms. They don't have the resources, they don't have the proprietary data at scale to compete. And so whatever you think about AI, we think an offset to what some believe will be a net negative was the fact that we'll take more share because we're much more prepared to take advantage of, which we've already shown relative to our small and regional competitors.
Operator:
And we'll take a question from Tobey Sommer with Truist.
Tobey O'Brien Sommer:
Within Protiviti, in your financial services or the industry customer set, what's your experience been? Is it -- is that part of the business and that customer set performing any differently than the business as a whole?
M. Keith Waddell:
Well, since it's so large a portion of Protiviti, it's almost half its revenue between 40% and 50% typically, you can almost correctly assume that any Protiviti trend is going to be true of its financial services client base. And in this case, that would be true again. And those large projects that completed FSI is represented there. And so that impacts their -- particularly their Q3 forecast for their revenues. So FSI definitely are very cost conscious, very selective. The decision cycle has been extended. Everything we've said would definitely include FSI clients.
Tobey O'Brien Sommer:
And what's the internal posture at the company as far as adding internal resources versus sort of being in the restraining and the cutting of internal resources? You say you feel better than you did 90 days ago. So how is that reflected in your decision-making there?
M. Keith Waddell:
Well, because we think we have unused capacity which we've talked about for some time, we've held on to more of our recruiters and salespeople than revenues would dictate. We think we have a nice buffer and that we can participate strongly in the upcycle without adding to current heads. So at the moment, while we always performance manage on an individual basis, other than that, we're holding the line. And we think we have adequate staff to participate and the fact that we're getting some productivity gains from some of these digital initiatives we have, including the lead scoring, we feel even more confident that we have the capacity we'll need to participate nicely.
Operator:
And our next question comes from Stephanie Moore with Jefferies.
Stephanie Lynn Benjamin Moore:
I wanted to -- you talked about this a little bit. You talked about investments that you've been making in AI, in particular, the other investments and maybe your positioning versus your smaller competitors when we eventually get out of this very sluggish environment. So could you talk a little bit about how you think you're positioned to win and take share when we do eventually get out of this pretty sluggish environment? And maybe asked another way, given how prolonged the sluggish environment is in, do you think that actually puts you in a better position for maybe smaller players that have just struggled to compete and might not have the resources available to take advantage of this recovery?
M. Keith Waddell:
Well, as I said, for technology reasons alone, I think we'll be better positioned to take share in part because at the end of the day, what clients can't care about is the quality of your candidates, and we can present better candidates because of our AI. By the same token, what candidates care about is the quality of your jobs. And we can present better jobs, more relevant jobs to candidates because of the power of AI, neither of which our local and regional competitors can do as well as we can do. And so I feel great in that way. Further, because we've made this commitment to these full-time engagement professionals, the quality of the talent we can provide, even in a very tight, low unemployment market, I think our clients are going to be very happy with, and we can scale that quickly if need be as well. And so the combination of our technology, our brands, which are better known than our local and regional competitors. The fact that we have this bench of full-time engagement professionals that we're willing to commit even more to, I think, just adds to that. And so frankly -- and by the way, that's -- the latter is very margin accretive. And so I believe we're positioned to benefit relative to that competitor set better today than we ever have.
Operator:
Our next question comes from George Tong with Goldman Sachs.
Keen Fai Tong:
So perm placement revenues during the quarter and the first few weeks of July declined more than temp staffing revenues. Can you talk a bit about what some of the factors are that may be contributing to this?
M. Keith Waddell:
So George, perm has been more volatile than contract forever. And so short-term differences one versus the other are normal frankly, and explanations don't really say much about trends. And I'd say perm in April didn't see the lift we would typically see in the second quarter. But at that lower level, we leveled out in May and June. And so -- and I was talking sequentially again. And so perm is fine. It's just -- it's more volatile. It's always been more volatile and always will be more volatile. As we talked even on the last call, we came out the gate hotter there in perm. And when you looked at the full quarter, that wasn't very predictive of even 1 quarter. And so perm is just more volatile.
Keen Fai Tong:
Got it. That's helpful. And then your admin and customer support business has been declining faster than finance and accounting now for 2 quarters in a row. What may be causing this difference in the rate of decline?
M. Keith Waddell:
There's a fair amount of projects in ACS, and large projects tend to impact that more. The comps have been tougher at times in ACS. But again, there are a couple of percentage points different than finance and accounting. They're not hugely different. If you look at a year ago, you'll find that the comps for ACS are tougher than the comps for accounting. And that somewhat gets reflected in the year- on-year growth rates. I don't think there's a big story there, one way or the other. And by the way, when we did that AI impact study, customer service, administrative staff were definitely included and they hadn't performed any differently than other roles.
Operator:
And moving on to Kartik Mehta with Northcoast Research.
Kartik Mehta:
Keith, I wanted to get your perspective. We've had a couple of starts or a couple of signs this year where it seems as though the industry was going to be on a positive trend. And unfortunately for a variety of reasons, it isn't able to hold the momentum. And I'm wondering if there's anything different you're seeing this time around, especially with some of the sequential growth that you've talked about, that you could point to that might say this is going to last.
M. Keith Waddell:
Well, I think the heightened uncertainty is certainly more accepted in the new normal. So I don't think there are as strong of reactions to all the policy changes up and down that seem to happen daily. So it's more settled in that these things are going to happen, and that's the new normal and deal with it and get on with it. And so I think with time, clients, particularly SMBs have gotten a little known to that. And therefore, it would take more to impact their confidence levels than it has in the last few quarters. The tax law has now been done. So that's behind us. The tariffs, while not settled, the view is, I mean, led today, in fact, by Japan, as you know, that are likely not to be as significant as first feared. Not that it's by any means settled, but it seems to be settling at a lower level.
Kartik Mehta:
And then just moving on to the Protiviti business, any change in the competitive dynamics in that business, especially as maybe there's just a couple of headwinds here than maybe before?
M. Keith Waddell:
Not. I mean the competition with the Big 4. And if anything, as we've talked about in the recent quarters, that competition, particularly as it relates to price has stabilized. And so I don't think there's a competitive reason that Protiviti has gone to a small negative year-on- year growth rate. I wouldn't say that's about competitive dynamics at all.
Operator:
And your next question comes from Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets.
Ryan Christopher Griffin:
This is Ryan on for Jeff. You mentioned that 70% of the business is SMB. I was just wondering how your larger enterprise customers fared in April and May. Perhaps they were a little bit less sensitive, but I was just curious.
M. Keith Waddell:
Well, we don't typically quantitatively break out the difference. But generally speaking, I would say the enterprise -- our enterprise clients have been a bit more resilient than our SMB clients for several quarters. And you see that in Protiviti's results where their client base is very different than talent solutions, where they're principally enterprise clients. So enterprise, a little better than SMB.
Ryan Christopher Griffin:
I appreciate that. Just for the follow-up on non-U.S. Protiviti. The growth there was up quite a bit this quarter. I was wondering if you could break down the drivers there.
M. Keith Waddell:
So first of all, the comps are dramatically different between U.S. and non-U.S. A year ago, U.S. grew 3% and non-U.S. was down 16%. So the comps are dramatically different, point one. But point two, Protiviti in Germany and in Canada have some very large joint go-to-market projects with talent solutions, and they're doing very well and that's expected to continue. So we feel good about Protiviti's international operations, particularly Europe, particularly Germany, and there's a lot of excitement about this defense and infrastructure spending coming, hadn't happened yet, but we feel good about Protiviti non-U.S. Okay. So that was our last question. So thank you very much for joining us.
Operator:
Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. If you missed any part of the call, it will be archived in audio format in the Investor Center of Robert Half's website at roberthalf.com. You can also log in to the conference call replay. Details are contained in the company's press release issued earlier today.

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