πŸ“’ New Earnings In! πŸ”

UBER (2025 - Q2)

Release Date: Aug 06, 2025

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Stock Data provided by Financial Modeling Prep

Current Financial Performance

Uber Q2 2025 Financial Highlights

18%
Gross Bookings Growth
Record High
Adjusted EBITDA
+35%
Record High
GAAP Operating Income
Record High
Free Cash Flow

Period Comparison Analysis

Gross Bookings Growth

18%
Current
Previous:21%
14.3% YoY

Adjusted EBITDA Growth

35%
Current
Previous:71%
50.7% YoY

Delivery Margin

3.7%
Current
Previous:3.0%
23.3% YoY

Monthly Active Consumers

170M
Current
Previous:149M
14.1% YoY

Trips Growth

18%
Current
Previous:19%
5.3% YoY

Key Financial Metrics

Adjusted EBITDA

$1.9B
35%

Free Cash Flow

$2.3B

Uber One Members

36M
60%

Premium Business Gross Bookings

$10B
35%

Financial Guidance & Outlook

Q3 Gross Bookings Growth Guidance

High Teens %

Q3 EBITDA Growth Guidance

Low- to Mid-30s %

Share Repurchase Authorization

$20B

Surprises

18% Growth in Trips and Gross Bookings

18% increase in both trips and gross bookings

Q2 was another quarter of new records for Uber as we achieved all-time highs in both audience and frequency. This powered robust growth in trips in gross bookings, both up 18%.

36 Million Uber One Members

36 million members

Uber One 36 million members, and these members spend 3x more.

40% Growth in Moto Gross Bookings

$1.5 billion in gross bookings growing 40%

Moto, which are 2-wheelers that are coming in a bunch of our developing markets, now it is over kind of $1.5 billion in gross bookings growing 40%.

Waymo AV Utilization Higher Than 99% of Drivers

Waymo AVs busier than 99% of drivers

The average Waymo is busier than 99% of our drivers in terms of completed trips per day.

Impact Quotes

Q2 was another quarter of new records for Uber as we achieved all-time highs in both audience and frequency. This powered robust growth in trips in gross bookings, both up 18%. We also reached new highs for adjusted EBITDA, GAAP operating income and free cash flow.

Today, fewer than 1 in 5 of our consumers are active across both Mobility and Delivery, and we believe this can and will go much higher over time.

We announced a new $20 billion share repurchase authorization as part of our sustained focus on value creation for our shareholders.

The average Waymo is busier than 99% of our drivers in terms of completed trips per day.

We've already executed over 60% of our authorization from last spring, when it was originally authorized. So today's $20 billion is in addition to the roughly $3 billion that is yet to be executed.

Uber One has always been a huge hit as it relates to delivery. It has been a bit more difficult in terms of introducing it to the Mobility audience, but we are very much earlier in the path in terms of introducing membership to our mobility users.

Notable Topics Discussed

  • Uber is experimenting with cross-promoting services between Mobility and Delivery to increase engagement.
  • Fewer than 1 in 5 consumers are active across both services, with significant growth potential.
  • The company is building towards a super app, integrating delivery and grocery into the rides app.
  • Current delivery on the rides app accounts for 12% of annualized delivery gross bookings, with ongoing product enhancements.
  • Management emphasizes aggressive experimentation and personalization, including AI-driven targeted promotions.
  • Uber expanded AV operating zones in Austin with Waymo and Abu Dhabi with WeRide.
  • Launched exclusively with Waymo in Atlanta, with high utilization rates (busier than 99% of drivers).
  • Plans to ramp autonomous deployments significantly in the coming quarters both in the U.S. and internationally.
  • Partnerships include Baidu, Lucid, Nuro, Wayve, and others, with a focus on bringing AVs to market quickly.
  • Management highlights the importance of AV supply, including collaborations with EV manufacturers like Lucid and AV software firms like Nuro.
  • Uber is engaging with all major OEMs to develop AV hardware platforms at scale.
  • Lucid has a 20,000 vehicle commitment, with Uber likely to take a significant portion.
  • Partnerships aim to balance supply of AVs and traditional drivers, with flexible models including merchant, agency, and licensing.
  • Uber emphasizes that vehicle investments could yield better economics through integrated deals with software and hardware providers.
  • Management notes that AV assets are currently unprofitable but expected to become financially viable over time.
  • Uber announced a new $20 billion share repurchase authorization, reflecting confidence in future cash flow.
  • Over 60% of previous authorization has been executed, with a total of approximately $23 billion planned for buybacks.
  • The company aims to return about 50% of free cash flow to shareholders, with a multi-year, active buyback program.
  • Share count was reduced by 1% in Q2, with ongoing plans to decrease share count over the coming years.
  • Management emphasizes that returning cash to shareholders remains a top priority.
  • Uber One membership grew by 36 million to 60 million members, a 60% increase.
  • Uber is targeting different demographics with new products like Moto, teens, and elder-friendly options.
  • Uber One significantly boosts delivery revenue and cross-platform engagement.
  • New features like search savings for mobility users aim to increase membership and reduce reliance on surge pricing.
  • Management sees Uber One as a key driver of platform stickiness and incremental revenue.
  • Uber is externalizing its AI and data capabilities to accelerate AV development.
  • The company is engaging in data labeling, translation, and algorithm tuning, leveraging its global platform.
  • Uber sees data licensing as a non-profit activity primarily aimed at speeding up AV market entry.
  • Management discusses potential for data and AI solutions to be monetized or licensed in the future.
  • Uber is also exploring external AI solutions and partnerships to enhance its autonomous ecosystem.
  • Uber observes that Tesla's AV deployment remains small and is monitoring its impact.
  • The company believes the AV market will have multiple winners, with no single dominant player.
  • Uber is confident in its platform's ability to balance supply and demand across different models.
  • The company emphasizes the importance of hardware affordability and software acceleration in AV commercialization.
  • Management highlights ongoing experimentation with various AV business models, including merchant, agency, and ownership.
  • Uber discusses different models for AV asset ownership, including leasing, licensing, and fleet ownership.
  • The company is open to owning some AV assets but also values partnerships and external financing.
  • Management notes that AVs are currently unprofitable but expects future profitability as economics improve.
  • The company is recycling proceeds from minority stakes to fund AV investments.
  • Uber aims to build a robust ecosystem with flexible ownership and partnership models to adapt to market conditions.
  • Uber reports a 15% growth in audience, driven by lower-cost products like Moto and premium offerings.
  • Consumer response to pricing deceleration, due to insurance savings, has been positive.
  • Delayed benefits from reduced prices are leading to increased app usage and trip growth in Q3.
  • Management expects continued improvement in transaction growth as insurance savings are passed to consumers.
  • The company is balancing efficiency and reliability across its platform to optimize growth.
  • Uber sees significant potential in lower-cost mobility options and premium services.
  • The company is expanding into new markets and demographics, including developing countries.
  • Growth in Uber for Business and other enterprise services is contributing to revenue diversification.
  • Management emphasizes the importance of building a multi-product, multi-demographic platform.
  • The company is focused on capturing a large share of the total addressable market over the next several years.

Key Insights:

  • The company anticipates expanding OEM partnerships and AV hardware platforms to accelerate commercialization.
  • The company plans to ramp up autonomous vehicle (AV) deployments significantly in the U.S. and internationally over the next few quarters.
  • Uber announced a new $20 billion share repurchase authorization to return capital to shareholders over multiple years.
  • Uber expects continued strong performance in Q3 2025 with high teens growth in gross bookings and low- to mid-30s growth in EBITDA.
  • Uber expects the barbell strategy in Mobility and Delivery to continue, targeting both low-cost and premium segments.
  • Andrew McDonald was appointed COO to lead platform strategy, integrating Mobility, Delivery, advertising, and autonomous vehicle efforts.
  • New and expanded partnerships were announced with Baidu, Lucid, Nuro, Wayve, and others to accelerate AV development.
  • The company is developing surge savings products to improve Mobility user experience and drive Uber One membership growth.
  • Uber expanded AV operating zones in Austin, Abu Dhabi, and launched exclusively with Waymo in Atlanta.
  • Uber is experimenting aggressively with cross-platform promotions to increase consumer engagement and retention.
  • CEO Dara Khosrowshahi emphasized the structural advantage of Uber's platform in cross-promoting Mobility and Delivery services.
  • Management highlighted the importance of multiple AV business models including merchant, agency, and licensing models.
  • The company is in the early innings of building a super app, balancing highly tuned separate apps with cross-promotion.
  • Uber is externalizing its technical capabilities, including AI solutions and advertising, to create new revenue streams.
  • Uber views AV investments as catalytic and plans to finance these through a mix of equity stakes, cash flow, and partnerships.
  • Audience growth was driven by new lower-cost products like Moto and premium offerings, with no signs of slowing.
  • Pricing reductions in U.S. Mobility due to insurance savings have led to increased trip growth and improved consumer retention.
  • The $20 billion share repurchase program is expected to be executed over multiple years, with about 50% of free cash flow allocated to buybacks.
  • The barbell strategy targets both low-cost and premium segments in Mobility and Delivery, with premium showing near-term profitability potential.
  • Uber plans to continue expanding OEM partnerships and AV deployments, with multiple business models in play.
  • Waymo AVs on Uber's platform have utilization rates higher than 99% of drivers, showing strong consumer acceptance.
  • The company is exploring data licensing and externalizing platform capabilities to support AI development and other tech initiatives.
  • The company is leveraging AI and large models to optimize cross-platform promotions and personalized consumer experiences.
  • Uber One members generate 3x the gross bookings and profits compared to single-business consumers.
  • Uber's AV partnerships include a broad ecosystem of software and hardware players globally.
  • Uber's platform has nearly 30 billion app visits annually, but fewer than 20% of consumers are active across both Mobility and Delivery.
  • The company expects no single winner in the AV market, anticipating multiple players and models to coexist.
  • The company sees significant opportunity in expanding lower-cost Mobility products despite current margin investments.
  • Uber AI solutions is a growing business segment leveraging the platform's workforce for data labeling and algorithm tuning.
  • Uber's AV commercialization will involve a mix of owning assets, partnering with fleet operators, and licensing software.
  • Uber's capital allocation balances aggressive AV investments with strong shareholder returns.
Complete Transcript:
UBER:2025 - Q2
Operator:
Hello, and welcome to the Uber Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Balaji Krishnamurthy, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin. Balaji K
Balaji Krishnamurthy:
Thank you, operator. Thank you for joining us today, and welcome to Uber's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Presentation. On the call today, we have Uber CEO, Dara Khosrowshahi; and CFO, Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah. During today's call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures and additional disclosures regarding these non- GAAP measures, including a reconciliation of GAAP and non-GAAP measures are included in the press release, supplemental slides and our filings with the SEC, each of which is posted to investor.uber.com. Certain statements in this presentation and on this call are forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements, and we do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements we make today, except as required by law. For more information about factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements, please refer to the press release we issued today as well as risks and uncertainties described in our most recent Form 10-K and in other filings made with the SEC. We published our quarterly earnings press release, prepared remarks and supplemental slides to our Investor Relations website earlier today, and we ask you to review those documents if you haven't already. We will open the call to questions following brief opening remarks from Dara. With that, let me hand it over to Dara.
Dara Khosrowshahi:
Thanks, Balaji. Q2 was another quarter of new records for Uber as we achieved all-time highs in both audience and frequency. This powered robust growth in trips in gross bookings, both up 18%. We also reached new highs for adjusted EBITDA, GAAP operating income and free cash flow. We're expecting more of the same strong performance in Q3 with another quarter of high teens gross bookings growth and low- to mid-30s EBITDA growth. We've already made great progress harnessing the unique power of our platform to foster deeper engagement with our consumers who visited our apps nearly 30 billion times over the past 12 months, but we're just scratching the surface of what's possible. Today, fewer than 1 in 5 of our consumers are active across both Mobility and Delivery, and we believe this can and will go much higher over time. That's one of the reasons I'm super excited that Andrew McDonald has stepped into the role of COO. One of Mac's primary focus areas will be supercharging our platform strategy and the growth that it can bring with our Mobility and Delivery leaders now reporting directly to him as well as the cross-platform efforts like advertising and autonomous. While we remain as focused as ever on our core business, we continue to push forward on building the future with AV. And Q2 was jampacked. We expanded our operating zones in Austin with Waymo and Abu Dhabi with WeRide, and we also launched exclusively with Waymo in Atlanta. And at the same time, we announced several new and expanded partnerships, including with Baidu, Lucid, Nuro and Wayve. Our autonomous momentum continues at Uber speed and we'll be ramping those deployments significantly over the next few quarters in the U.S. and internationally. To be put, we've never been more excited about what Uber is delivering today or the many opportunities ahead. That's why today, we announced a new $20 billion share repurchase authorization as part of our sustained focus on value creation for our shareholders. With that, let's go to questions.
Operator:
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs.
Eric James Sheridan:
I want to follow up on this theme you introduced around platform initiatives in the letter. When you think about the success you're unlocking on the platform initiative side, how much of this in your early learnings continues to come down to consumer knowledge, array of supply or even affordability in terms of driving some of this cross-platform behavior. And as you're thinking as the company continues to evolve, how do you think about one single super app under the Uber brand as opposed to having multiple apps with different utility experiences for consumers.
Dara Khosrowshahi:
Absolutely, Eric. It's a great question and something that, honestly, we're learning as we go. I think as it relates to platform, it's easy to talk about, but it's actually much harder to execute on the ground. A pixel that we place on the Mobility app that is, for example, promoting delivery, a delivery feature could be reducing the experience of the Mobility app itself. So we have to make sure that we are cross-promoting one service to the other mobility to our each business or each business to grocery, grocery user to retail in a way that is targeted and in a way that is adding value for the consumer. And the only way to get there is through super, super aggressive experimentation. The great news is that the -- those who kind of use both sides, both Mobility and Delivery, their retention rates are higher, they are 35% higher than single business consumers. They generate 3x the gross bookings and profits in single business consumers as well. And that then allows us to market more aggressively uniquely because the vast majority of our competition is only monoline in terms of the business that they run. So structurally, for a subset of consumers we can just pay more than anyone else can. And that structural advantage is going to continue to get better over a period of time. Now what we're seeing now is a lot of people talk about AI and some of the AI applications are just larger models, larger models that can take more contacts from a consumer, history of that consumers use longer periods of time in terms of seasonality. And part of what we're seeing in terms of the cross-platform promotion is that we're able to pick kind of the right time to send a promotion to you. So on your way to work, maybe you pick up a Starbucks coffee with a promotion attached to it. Those kinds of magical experiences have to be hyper-personalized. And again, can be optimized as a result of a bunch of optimization and model kind of tuning work. I do think that Andrew McDonald, Mac, we call them, heading both Mobility and Delivery kind of solve the structural problem because to some extent, the teams who are optimizing for the mobility app, they just want to optimize for Mobility and for Delivery, even though they're part of one company, now both of those organizations are under one person, which structurally allows us to be more aggressive on the platform. And then as you know, our membership program is a huge part of the platform with Uber One 36 million members, and these members spend 3x more. We have been debating as to Eric, your question on the super app. We've been debating it internally. Now to some extent, when you go to the rides app, it is a super app. You'll see a -- you'll see a delivery tab on the rides app. We are building out our experience. If you look at our supplemental slides, which actually has delivery and grocery and a bunch of other choices on the rides app. And the rides app today drive $10 billion of bookings or delivery kind of bookings on the Mobility app. It's about 12% of annualized delivery gross bookings. So in some ways, we're slowly kind of moving towards a super app of source. But what we're trying to have is the best of both worlds, a highly tuned mobility app, a highly tuned delivery app, both of which talk to each other and take targeted moments to promote each other as opposed to kind of broad promotion that can seem like in our anti-consumer to some extent. This is a long journey. I think we're in the second inning. And with our product teams and our tech teams focused on it and Mac as the COO, I think the journey towards the fourth, fifth innings is going to be easier than the first two innings so to speak.
Operator:
The next question comes from Brian Nowak with Morgan Stanley.
Brian Thomas Nowak:
I have two. The first one on the core platform. So the MAPC growth up $10 million quarter-over-quarter and the Uber One member growth of $6 million quarter-over-quarter, both really good numbers, really good results. So the question is, is there any changes that sort of came through this quarter that drove that faster growth? And how do we think about the durability and the faster growth going forward? And then secondly, on autonomous, [indiscernible] I think in the past, you've talked about the number of AV rides deployed across the network at $1.5 million last quarter. Any update on how large that is or ways we can think about quantifying the Waymo utilization on Uber's network?
Dara Khosrowshahi:
Sure, absolutely. So Brian, in terms of audience growth, which was super healthy at 15%. There are many ways in which we're expanding audience. But I'd say one of the ways that I will talk about is some of the lower-cost products that we're introducing. So for example, Moto, which are 2-wheelers that are coming in a bunch of our developing markets, now it is over kind of $1.5 billion in gross bookings growing 40%. A bunch of them -- on the premium side as well, our premium business is now over $10 billion, growing 35% and our reserve business continues to grow 60%. So the strategy that you're seeing from us, which is to target consumers, different demographics, whether they're demographics in terms of income, whether they're demographics in terms of age, building a teens product, or building a product for an elder audience. These are new consumers that are coming on to our platform. And then when they come into our platform, we find that they use multiple products per the discussion that we have there. So we'll get someone in on Moto. But if it's date night or if it's raining, they'll use UberX, and they'll start kind of get introduced into the platform as well. So we are very, very pleased in terms of audience. And I would tell you that while a lot of people think, hey, everyone that I know uses Uber, et cetera, in our top 10 markets, for consumers who are 18 years and older, only about 20% of them come to us on a monthly basis. So there's a ton of audience that we can continue expanding into. And at this point, we're not seeing any signal whatsoever that audience growth is slowing down. Uber One, we've been very, very happy about growing 60%, 36 million members. I think one of the differences that you're going to see in Uber One is, Uber One has always been a huge hit as it relates to delivery. It has been a bit more difficult in terms of introducing it to the Mobility audience, the incremental use on delivery showed up on day 1. But our mobility, the incrementality as a result of Uber One has been something that we had to work on. One of the newer products that we're very excited about is actually search savings. This is the #1 product that our Mobility consumers have asked for. Surge is necessary for us to improve reliability across the network, but a lot of our users don't like it to be frank. So surge savings is an opportunity for members to save during those surges and kind of pay prices closer to what they're used to, and we think that can drive membership as well. So one of the reasons why you're seeing membership grow as fast as it grows is while it's highly optimized for Delivery, call it, 80% of where we're going to get to. In Mobility, it's like not nearly as optimized and we're very much earlier kind of in the path in terms of introducing membership to our mobility users and coming out with kind of spectacular products like the search savings that we talked about. So both early the teams are doing well, and we expect that execution to continue. In terms of AV, it is very, very early. In terms of the development of AV, I think the commercialization is going to take time, but we're going to be in the lead in terms of commercialization. Austin launch continues to go really well in terms of utilization. Atlanta launch has been -- it's early, but the Atlanta launch has been great. And in both cases, the average Waymo is busier than 99% of our drivers in terms of completed trips per day. And then what we're also seeing is that having Waymo's as part of our product is -- it looks like it has kind of a positive halo effect on the overall system in terms of people being excited to use an AV, it's certainly showing up in Austin. Too early to show up in Atlanta, but it's something that we're looking at closely. And then obviously, beyond Waymo, there's a big ecosystem out there, [ Mamability ], Avride, Volkswagen, Nuro, Lucid and then a lot of players in the rest of the world, WeRide, Pony, Baidu, Wayve and Momenta. So lots of partnerships here. And really, the focus now is how do we bring this product to market as quickly as possible because it looks like from a consumer standpoint and from a safety standpoint, it's a real hit.
Operator:
Next question is from Michael Morton with Moffett Nathanson.
Michael Paul Morton:
Dara, maybe a great time to follow up on those AV comments you just made. And I wanted to dig in a little bit on the Lucid and Nuro partnership that was announced. There were some investor concerns that this partnership, in particular, with the capital around it was a negative read-through for the relationship with Waymo and then also just capital intensity, a little surprising for the marketplaces. Could you maybe speak to why this might not be the best framework for thinking about that partnership? And then some high-level thoughts on how you're envisioning owning some of the AV assets versus divesting them to fleet operators and how investors could expect to see this play out over the next several years?
Dara Khosrowshahi:
Yes, absolutely, Michael. Listen, we're very, very excited about the partnership with Nuro and Lucid. Nuro is a leading software player, obviously, excellent management and Lucid as well, one of the leading EV manufacturers out there with great tech. So we think it's terrific. Listen, we -- I've said it before, we are a supply-led company. The more drivers there are in the ecosystem that we can amalgamate with our platform, the better our service becomes, and that applies with robotic and autonomous drivers as well. So we are investing, absolutely investing in the software players and the hardware players to bring that to [ for ] and the fact that we are able to work with Nuro, Lucid speaks very well to AV supply going forward. The more supply there is, both humans and AVs, again, the better our platform is. And I think from our standpoint, the good news is that, as you've seen with our cash flow and our capital allocation, we can afford to invest aggressively in the autonomous space and at the same time, to return plenty of capital to our shareholders. So it's not either/or. I do think that you will see us do more deals like Nuro, Lucid in the early days of autonomous as we're proving out the economics of the marketplace. How much can one of these cars make. Now the signal that we see with Waymo is based on the trips per day being at a 99th percentile in terms of utilization, that news is great. So once we prove out the revenue model, how much these cars can generate on a per day basis, there will be plenty of financing to go around, third-party financing. We've talked to private equity players. We've talked to banks, et cetera. And while it will take some time, we're very confident that these assets are going to be financeable. And for us, we believe it's a competitive advantage for us to be able to use a relatively modest part of our cash flow to fund kind of the catalyst to get things started here. So we think it's great news. We've got obviously something approved to shareholders. We always do. But I think it reflects kind of the catalytic potential that we can bring to the market. Anything you want to talk to Prashanth?
Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah:
Maybe just to remind folks, as we've said in the past, that as we think about our investments in AV, you want to think about them in terms of where will we use capital to take equity positions in some of the software players or ecosystem players to help them kick start their development and where does Uber being part of their cap table sort of add to their credibility. We're going to continue to recycle some of the proceeds from the minority stakes that we have to fund some of those investments. You've seen us do that already and expect us to continue to do more of that over the coming quarters. Second, expect us to use some of our cash flow in a more capital structure as we may need to invest either in real estate, in facilities or as we announced with Lucid actually in vehicles. Exactly as Dara said, this is really to help us build our learning base and to build enough information for us to be able to engage more credibly with financing partners having run these at scale ourselves and then be able to bring them into the fold with real data on how they can earn a return in this space. And then lastly is obviously AVs today are not profitable. That has been a pretty consistent investment approach for Uber as we go into markets and go into products starting at a loss, we build scale, we build our experience. And then over time, we know exactly the levers that are necessary to turn to get that to profitability. You've seen us do that in multiple growth bets as well as in the delivery business when we started and expect that to be the same for AV. I'll just call back to -- we announced a $20 billion authorization today in part to make it clear that returning the cash generated from this enterprise to shareholders remains our #1 concern. And so the investments that we're going to be making in this area are going to pay a sort of in comparison to that.
Operator:
Next question comes from Justin Post with Bank of America.
Justin Post:
A couple of more questions on AVs. In the letter, you talked about we are increasingly focused on broadening OEM partnerships. So really, maybe talk about that and your partnership pipeline here for the next 6 months or so. And then second, with a lot of news about Tesla expanding, how do you think about that? And maybe just give us an update on your share and growth in the San Francisco and L.A. markets.
Dara Khosrowshahi:
Yes, absolutely. So Justin, in terms of OEMs, what we're seeing is that the development of software, actually AV software has really been accelerated based on these larger AI models. There are some approaches that are kind of perception models interpreting the world and then prediction models that decide what to do. Some players like Tesla and Wayve, for example, are going with single models. But whatever the approach is, it is really accelerating in terms of time to market. And we actually think the harder part of commercialization is going to be hardware, bringing on hardware platforms and hardware partners that can build these platforms at scale affordably because today, at least AV vehicles that are able to be deployed at scale are pretty expensive. We've obviously made the Lucid announcement. We are talking to all of the major OEMs in the space, and we're confident that over the next couple of years, we will have OEM partners. And again, because we bring a ton of demand, we've got a great balance sheet that we can invest in order to prove out the financing of these models, we think we're in a great position to do so. So stay tuned. You'll see more announcements with OEMs. And then there are certain players like Baidu who also have established, not just software platforms but also hardware platforms that look to be effective at scale and quite affordably, which is terrific. The Apollo Go for is one example of that. And then in terms of Tesla, listen, we see them on the streets right now, the deployment that we're observing is very, very small. So we haven't measured any change in terms of trends, both in Austin and/or San Francisco. It's something that we'll watch. And again, we said it before, this is a very, very big market. There will be no winner take all. And I think you're going to see a lot of experimentation early on with lots of different models. Waymo is working with us, Waymo is going direct, are working with a number of other players. You'll see a [ panoply ] of models, but we are confident that based on our platform, based on our ability to balance kind of supply and demand, peaks and valleys, we think we'll be the leading third-party platform out there. And with a market that is going to grow and expand the way AV promises to, I think, will be a winner, but we won't be the only winner.
Operator:
Next question comes from Doug Anmuth with JPMorgan.
Douglas Till Anmuth:
I have two, one for Dara, one for Prashanth. Dara, just in terms of Mobility, how are consumers responding to the pricing growth deceleration just tied to the moderating insurance pressures and guess what gives you confidence in U.S. Mobility trips accelerating in 3Q? And then Prashanth, is there any more color that you can add around the buyback and just kind of loosely how you think about overall time frame, just given that the $7 billion from a couple of years ago, kind of started somewhat slowly, it's ramped more now, but any more color there would be helpful.
Dara Khosrowshahi:
Yes, Doug, in terms of -- I'll answer the first one. In terms of the response of pricing, it's been really positive. So there is a sensitivity to pricing on kind of a session level, right, if someone sees a ride for $20 and then sees a ride for $17, the conversion on those two sessions are going to be different. But there's also the person who saw the $17 ride has a greater proclivity of coming back to us 2 days later, 3 weeks later, et cetera. So there's kind of a delayed reaction to pricing which we're now able to, with some of the data scientists out there who are really terrific, we're able to measure. And that's exactly what we're seeing in the U.S., which is if, if you measure kind of bringing prices down, and I think the good news here to be clear is we're just passing on these insurance savings. So our profit per ride in the U.S. is up on a year-on-year basis. This is -- it's insurance money passed right to consumers. What we're seeing in the U.S. is that there are some session benefits or in-session benefit, but there's a delayed benefit to consumers then coming back with the app more and that's absolutely showing up in July, where transaction growth accelerated nicely versus Q2. And our expectation based on our being able to continue to pass on insurance savings for the balance of the quarter is that the same trends are going to show up in the balance of the quarter. The trends generally are getting better as the quarter progresses, which gives us confidence in Q2, and hopefully, that will continue into Q4 -- sorry, Q3 and then go into Q4. Prashanth you want to take the next one?
Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah:
Yes. Thank you. So Doug, maybe a couple of points on the buyback to help folks understand how we think about it. As this business has inflected and we have started to generate meaningful cash flow, returning that cash to our shareholders is a key priority for us. We've already executed over 60% of our authorization from last spring, when it was originally authorized. So today's $20 billion is in addition to the roughly $3 billion that is yet to be executed. So I know that sometimes folks get confused on that. So think of it as $23 billion to execute over the next couple of periods here. That represents about 12% of our market cap and really is a reflection of how great we feel about the cash flow generation that's in front of us. So if you look at our history now, we've been allocating around 50% of our free cash flow to buybacks. I think that's a fair sort of way for you to think about how we will execute the capital return over the coming years. That gives us also a good sort of way to benchmark how we want to design our programs every quarter. So you should expect this to be sort of a multiyear plan. We will be active every quarter. But of course, we always reserve the opportunity that if there is a meaningful dislocation, we're going to get very opportunistic in the market. And just a reminder that we made a commitment last year in our Investor Day that we were going to turn the curve and start reducing our share count. And now in the second quarter, we've actually taken share count down 1%, and you'll see that trend continue for the next couple of years.
Operator:
Next question comes from Ross Sandler with Barclays.
Ross Adam Sandler:
Great. This is probably for Prashanth, but could we put a dollar amount on the vehicle commitment from these OEM partnership deals over the next few years? Or is there a framework that we can think about this? Is this hundreds or thousands of vehicles per partnership, I know the Lucid deal had that 20,000 vehicle commitment. Like how much do you think Uber will be taking on of that 20,000? And then the second part of the question is just -- it seems like the Waymo partnership is more of an asset-light version of this. So how important is expanding with Waymo in new cities beyond the two that have been announced.
Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah:
Thanks Ross. I'm going to take the first part of that, and I'll let Dara take the second part of it. I think -- probably the best way to think about the investments, going back to, I think, what I said for Doug earlier, is we are committing that at least half of our cash flow generation over the coming years will go to share repurchase, and that's sort of the message we wanted to send with that very strong $20 billion share repurchase. We will recycle the proceeds from our minority stakes as best as those are opportunistic to allow us to fund some of the equity investments in our AV players. So for us, the -- what we've concluded is a modest redeployment of our free cash flow makes a big difference for the partners that we are working with. So I would think more about the impact that we can create with our partners which is outsized reflective of the amount of cash flow we're generating. So I wouldn't -- I don't want to give you a size on it except to say that you should be comfortable that a lot of our cash will continue to go back to shareholders. As Dara mentioned, I think earlier that -- or we might have been on CNBC this morning, that we will always continue to look at inorganic moves that make sense for us, like the [ TrindleGo ] deal that we did last quarter, which has been great for us on growth. And then beyond that, that leaves us some capacity to continue to help build out this ecosystem. And then with the question on Waymo, I'll let Dara take that one.
Dara Khosrowshahi:
Yes, absolutely. So in general, in terms of Waymo, Ross, really our focus is making sure that we're executing incredibly well on the deployments that we have now, both in terms of Austin and Atlanta and both are going really well. We would love to have more Waymos on our platform, both in Austin and Atlanta and in additional cities. But I don't want to comment on when and if that's going to happen. But clearly, it's something that our consumers love. And clearly, the Waymos on the Uber network are very, very busy and producing economic value. And so hopefully, we certainly know we're going to expand in the cities that we're in. And hopefully, we'll have more to tell you over a period of time. In terms of the specific business model, again, I don't want to comment on that. But I would tell you that we see kind of 3 different business models coming in generally depending on whom we're working with. It's going to be what I would call the merchant model. And under a merchant model we will essentially pay a partner of certain dollars for -- per trip per day or dollar per day. And so the partner will have a kind of revenue that is very, very predictable. And we will take the risk on monetizing our network. And again, we have more demand than anyone else. So we will be able to, I think, sign up for revenue levels that other people just can't. So the merchant model really kind of creates an advantage for us. Then there's an agency model. Agency model, think of it as a rev share. It's kind of the model that we have with our driver partners now. Driver takes a certain percentage, we take a certain take rate as well and you essentially have a revenue share based on -- and if you do well in a market, that's great. If you do less on a market, it's kind of risk sharing. Then there's another model which where we might or financing partner might own the assets and then essentially you're buying cars and then there will be a licensing model as it relates to the software. So there will be a -- whether it's monthly licensing or per mile licensing, you can imagine lots of different models out there. So those, I think, are how the marketplace is going to shape up. I think you'll see all three of those models in our marketplace over the next 5 years. And it's going to depend on really the needs of our partner. But we're very confident as to being able to kind of build the most robust economic and operational ecosystem as it relates to AV within the Uber network. Anything to add, Prashanth?
Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah:
Yes, I think, Ross, maybe just circling back to the first answer I gave you. One element I probably should have added is, I wouldn't conclude that by purchasing vehicles the economics are going to be worse. In fact, our analysis is that the Nuro, Lucid deal will probably yield better economics for us because it's a collective deal and we just get the efficiencies of having the vehicle and having the software integration in there. So our view is actually, we're probably going to do better on that from an economic standpoint. .
Dara Khosrowshahi:
Operator, we'll take the last question.
Operator:
Your last question will come from Benjamin Black with Deutsche Bank.
Benjamin Thomas Black:
Dara, you mentioned the barbell strategy within U.S. Mobility. I guess when you look across the spectrum of opportunities across the curve, where do you see the greatest incremental opportunity for Mobility in the U.S.? Is this more sort of on the lower-priced offering? Or is there still a lot of room to run on the higher end as well? And then can you just dig a little bit deeper into your comments around externalizing your technical capabilities in the letter? Are you talking about data licensing opportunities within AV? And if so, how big could that become?
Dara Khosrowshahi:
Yes, absolutely. Ben, I'd say in terms of the barbell strategy, it is both. It is low cost and premium. I would say that premium is easier to execute on. There is clearly a consumer wants in terms of paying more for higher reliability. That's essentially what the reserve product is, and/or paying more for -- and as a car, which is kind of the premium product, I would also say that our Uber for Business is also growing nicely over 30% on a year-on-year basis. So I think premium near term in terms of profitability is -- has higher potential, call it, over the next 3 years. . The lower-cost product is a harder product for us to pull off and because we have to kind of drive efficiency across the network and one of those instantiations is wait and save where you accept lower reliability and as the results are able to pay less. Or our Uber share product where essentially your -- you will take maybe a longer ride, maybe a little bit of a detour sharing that car with someone else and again, saving money on that. The lower-end product, I think, ultimately is kind of the greater opportunity in terms of trips, in terms of TAM. But over the next 3 years, our lower-end product, is costing us a margin that we think is appropriate in terms of the investments that we're making in our future. Expect us to continue on the barbell strategy, and you'll see similar things as it relates to our delivery business. Priority delivery, paying up for priority delivery in order to get your delivery faster or accepting some delay in your delivery and again saving some costs. So this part of strategy is something that we're using both in Mobility and Delivery and they both carry significant promise there. In terms of externalizing our tech capabilities, this is something that I'm really excited about. And just like a really simple example is our advertising business and our direct business. If you think about Uber Eats, there are two pieces of value that Uber Eats brings. There's audience to an SMB restaurants that it brings and in this fulfillment capability, which is getting the food to the home and we separated those two capabilities into an advertising business that's growing incredibly healthy, very, very high margin and a direct business where essentially we deliver on demand for our customers who may have brought those consumers to their front door on their own through their own app. You should expect to see more of that. So for example, data collection for AV is absolutely something that we're working on. I'd say it's not really something that I'm looking to make profits on but really helping AV get to market faster. And then one area that we're really excited about is kind of one way to look at Uber is, it is a platform for work. We've got almost 9 million people who are earning on our platform, and they can earn in different ways other than driving or transporting things. An example of that is actually our Uber AI solutions, which is one of the really exciting parts of our business growing very quickly off of too smaller base, I tell that team at this point. But they are engaging in data labeling, translation, map labeling, tuning algorithms, et cetera. And these are sometimes drivers on our platform, sometimes kind of specialists that we bring on to the platform but it's using the core Uber capability, which is sending out tasks to earners all over the world, you're just going to see a different kind of earner that is going to work for kind of the really exciting kind of AI developments that you see all over the world. So that is another example of our externalizing our platform and it's -- we are many conversations with their tech teams as to what else we can do with their platform capabilities globally. So something that we're quite excited about. All right. I think [indiscernible].
Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah:
Yes, let's wrap it up there.
Dara Khosrowshahi:
All right, everyone. Thank you very much for joining us. We really appreciate your taking the time, and a big thank you to the Uber teams. Balaji and Prashanth and I get to talk about the results, but it's the teams on the ground who are delivering every day. So a special thank you to all the teams who delivered another great quarter for us. Thanks, everyone, and we'll talk to you next quarter. .
Operator:
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.

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